3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$721/mo
Annual
$8,654/yr
Cap rate
27.93%
Cash-on-cash
77.27%
DSCR
4.44
1% rule
3.16%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 27.9% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated appearance
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Standard fixtures
CashFlowRE · CFR-FPJ1X04A76AG2M
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29