628 South Ave

Harrison, AR 72601

$70,000C+

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,204 sqft · Built 2000 · SingleFamily · Active · 359 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $750/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax + insurance: −$57
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$158
• Net cashflow: $168/mo
• Annual: $2,018/yr
• Cap rate: 9.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.30%
• DSCR: 1.46
• 1% rule: 1.07%
• Cash to close: $19,600

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($750 rent vs $70k).
• It's been on market 359 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#52 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Harrison School District (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #11 of 238 in AR (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $70k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.0% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 359 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.