3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,604 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$59
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$603/mo
Annual
$7,238/yr
Cap rate
22.38%
Cash-on-cash
57.45%
DSCR
3.56
1% rule
2.53%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#448 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Ishpeming Public School District No. 1 (town): math 28% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #256 of 540 in MI (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Marquette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marquette County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $2k; list at $45k implies a 2900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 3.9% in Ishpeming — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQ2WHW8GSJJTES
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29