2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
954 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,311/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$335
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-270/mo
Annual
$-3,235/yr
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.71%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-270 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (25.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (29.1% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in MN, #386 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
Sartell-St. Stephen School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #18 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.9% in Sartell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQ33J079F27J1P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29