2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,411 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,198/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,631/yr
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.13%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (22.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (29.5% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in IA, #119 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-.
Dubuque Community School District (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #205 of 289 in IA (top 71%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eisenhower Elementary School (math 77% / reading 66%, grade A-, #212 of 616 statewide, top 35%, 566 students, 34% FRL); Eleanor Roosevelt Middle School (math 72% / reading 76%, grade A, #83 of 246 statewide, top 34%, 1,093 students, 31% FRL); Dubuque Senior High School (math 63% / reading 74%, grade B, #181 of 336 statewide, top 54%, 1,435 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 473 units permitted in Dubuque County in 2024 (319 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dubuque County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.5% in Dubuque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQANB22F42P5V6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29