3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,983 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,830/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,928
Tax + insurance
−$919
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$-3,401/mo
Annual
$-40,809/yr
Cap rate
0.84%
Cash-on-cash
-19.46%
DSCR
0.13
1% rule
0.24%
Cash to close
$209,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $749k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-41k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (80.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (75.6% below list).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($659k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (80.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $80k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $75k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pemi-Baker Regional School District (rural): math 45% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #77 of 171 in NH (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $269k; list at $749k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$129k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 80% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQE38X140RX47B
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29