213 Shull Dr

North Vernon, IN 47265

$159,900C+

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · Built 1966 · SingleFamily · Pending · 24 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,633/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax + insurance: −$199
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$343
• Net cashflow: $252/mo
• Annual: $3,027/yr
• Cap rate: 8.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.76%
• DSCR: 1.30
• 1% rule: 1.02%
• Cash to close: $44,772

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#29 in IN, #2,347 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
• Jennings County School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #194 of 301 in IN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Jennings County High School (math 26% / reading 62%, grade F, #189 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 1,184 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Jennings County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jennings County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.1% in North Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.