4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,470 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,582/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$439
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-336/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-336/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (1.1% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Norwich City School District (town): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #498 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stanford J Gibson Primary School (400 students, 52% FRL); Norwich Middle School (math 34% / reading 48%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 381 students, 59% FRL); Norwich High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 546 students, 48% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Norwich City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQWYJZ649ZRFYR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29