2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Other
· Active
· 350 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$859/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$5
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$86/mo
Annual
$1,037/yr
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.36%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 45/100 on livability (#345 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Quemado Independent Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #10 of 29 in NM (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Quemado Elementary (86 students, 58% FRL); Quemado High (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #36 of 110 statewide, top 45%, 71 students, 65% FRL).
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP.
Catron County population projected at -52% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FR257E0BAVA1XQ
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29