2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$832/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$35/mo
Annual
$421/yr
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.67%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($421/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#482 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Hazen School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #175 of 238 in AR (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hazen Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #305 of 454 statewide, top 71%, 285 students, 63% FRL); Hazen High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #164 of 292 statewide, top 61%, 271 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Prairie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prairie County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible damage
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered
Major: interior walls
— Stained
Major: bathrooms
— Small and basic
Major: kitchen
— Basic appliances
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— Basic units
CashFlowRE · CFR-FR5S7T7Z24RS7A
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29