3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,240 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$545
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$-677/mo
Annual
$-8,121/yr
Cap rate
3.04%
Cash-on-cash
-11.61%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-677 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (47.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (40.3% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $130k (47.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#303 in NY, #4,992 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Maine-Endwell Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #278 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Homer Brink School (math 68% / reading 71%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 731 students, 32% FRL); Maine-Endwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 57%, grade D, #363 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 564 students, 39% FRL); Maine-Endwell Senior High School (math 98% / reading 90%, grade A+, #124 of 1,100 statewide, top 12%, 728 students, 36% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 57% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Maine-Endwell Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 4.0% in Endwell — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FR8W071QRWWAY7
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29