3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,523 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,234/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$889
Net cashflow
$1,395/mo
Annual
$16,745/yr
Cap rate
11.37%
Cash-on-cash
18.12%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $325k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#624 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, employment F.
Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Demille Elementary (509 students, 72% FRL); Warner Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 879 students, 87% FRL); Westminster High (math 51% / reading 68%, grade C+, #205 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,637 students, 87% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-32 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntington Beach Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FRNK8VFYCH92YS
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29