2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
290 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Condo
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,937/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$-598/mo
Annual
$-7,170/yr
Cap rate
3.42%
Cash-on-cash
-10.24%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-598 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (34.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (22.5% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#226 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, cost of living D, amenities F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 4.9% in Marlboro Village — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($139k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29