4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,810 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,826/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,196
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$371/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$63,840
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($371/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#33 in NC, #3,282 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: W H Robinson Elementary (math 46% / reading 51%, grade D, #472 of 1,410 statewide, top 34%, 616 students, 59% FRL); A G Cox Middle (math 37% / reading 49%, grade D-, #191 of 475 statewide, top 41%, 865 students, 52% FRL); South Central (math 42% / reading 51%, grade D-, #344 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 1,675 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Winterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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