5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,642 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$583/mo
Annual
$6,998/yr
Cap rate
23.83%
Cash-on-cash
62.64%
DSCR
3.79
1% rule
2.82%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#199 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Hutchinson Public Schools (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #157 of 169 in KS (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mccandless Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #624 of 684 statewide, top 92%, 206 students, 93% FRL); Hutchinson Middle School 8 (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #172 of 219 statewide, top 79%, 295 students, 70% FRL); Hutchinson High School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #249 of 327 statewide, top 79%, 1,299 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Reno County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Reno County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $40k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29