3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Manufactured
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,944/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$620
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$408
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,611/yr
Cap rate
14.94%
Cash-on-cash
30.88%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
3.00%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#153 in MI, #3,827 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Rockford Public Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #28 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Rockford Spanish Immersion (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A, #27 of 1,397 statewide, top 2%, 304 students, 7% FRL); North Rockford Middle School (math 58% / reading 63%, grade B+, #51 of 493 statewide, top 11%, 885 students, 19% FRL); Rockford High School (math 46% / reading 71%, grade C, #91 of 713 statewide, top 13%, 1,819 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.0% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FTG2JD3CRQHPAQ
· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29