40 bd · 20.0 ba ·
6,798 sqft ·
Built 1966
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 147 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$46,620/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$56,374
Tax + insurance
−$9,468
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,790
Net cashflow
$-29,012/mo
Annual
$-348,147/yr
Cap rate
3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-11.57%
DSCR
0.49
1% rule
0.43%
Cash to close
$3,010,000
Investor read
This is a 20 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $10.75M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29k ($-348k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-1k/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $5.62M (47.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $4.66M (56.6% below list).
It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($9.46M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4.66M (56.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $74k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $322k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#132 in CA, #4,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
San Luis Coastal Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Pacheco Elementary (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #667 of 1,571 statewide, top 43%, 482 students, 36% FRL); Laguna Middle (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #57 of 498 statewide, top 12%, 789 students, 30% FRL); San Luis Obispo High (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #234 of 1,170 statewide, top 21%, 1,644 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $4.53M; list at $10.75M implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 2.1% in San Luis Obispo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $46,620/mo this rent would consume 926% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3368% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 57% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FTH42K4GN8DK8F
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29