3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$364
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$438/mo
Annual
$5,254/yr
Cap rate
13.85%
Cash-on-cash
27.00%
DSCR
2.20
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$19,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#594 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Turkey Valley Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #82 of 289 in IA (top 28%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Turkey Valley Elementary School (math 92% / reading 82%, grade A+, #16 of 616 statewide, top 3%, 192 students, 36% FRL); Turkey Valley Jr-Sr High School (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 183 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 16% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $60k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FTT1GM9D2Z9ZRJ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29