4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,452 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 166 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,777/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$793
Net cashflow
$-644/mo
Annual
$-7,732/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.26%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-644 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $432k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $378k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $378k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#435 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
Buckingham County Public School District (rural): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #117 of 131 in VA (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 96 units permitted in Buckingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buckingham County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29