4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,259 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,510
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$465
Net cashflow
$47/mo
Annual
$570/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$80,640
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $288k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($570/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (23.1% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,265 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 492 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $288k implies a 239% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in Salton City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FW3ZTEDX9WNKM2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29