3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,836 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,718/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$622/mo
Annual
$7,466/yr
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.24%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Brandon Valley School District 49-2 (town): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #1 of 59 in SD (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fred Assam Elementary - 06 (math 69% / reading 72%, grade A-, #18 of 253 statewide, top 7%, 486 students, 6% FRL); Brandon Valley Middle School - 02 (math 56% / reading 72%, grade B+, #11 of 143 statewide, top 8%, 729 students, 13% FRL); Brandon Valley High School - 01 (math 67% / reading 84%, grade A-, #4 of 151 statewide, top 2%, 1,345 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 501 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).
Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FW5W7X3DJEVX1H
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29