3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,026 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$440
Net cashflow
$798/mo
Annual
$9,582/yr
Cap rate
15.87%
Cash-on-cash
34.22%
DSCR
2.52
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#847 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Perry SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 5.5% in Bloomfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWBJ7JE2094RDC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29