9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
3,358 sqft ·
Built 2013
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,555
Tax + insurance
−$2,083
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,185
Net cashflow
$-417/mo
Annual
$-5,003/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.43%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$350,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-139/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.19M (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (16.7% below list).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.14M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.04M (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $102k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $93k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $269k; list at $1.25M implies a 365% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$163k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,407/mo this rent would consume 344% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 7852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWK03B6Z52E745
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29