6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,496 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,704/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$485
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$778
Net cashflow
$370/mo
Annual
$4,442/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $185/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $370k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $348k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment D-.
Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $330k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.1% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,704/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWKGPK5K6A11J9
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29