2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Pending
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,247/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$450
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$225
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$207/mo
Annual
$2,484/yr
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.33%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$24,052
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $86k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clara J Peck Elementary (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 268 students, 99% FRL); Jackson Middle (math 12% / reading 28%, grade F, #429 of 475 statewide, top 91%, 402 students, 99% FRL); Ben L. Smith High School (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #434 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 1,371 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWQVM75525GV8C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29