3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,338/yr
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.83%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#198 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Tattnall County (rural): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #103 of 174 in GA (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Collins Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%); Tattnall County High School (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #203 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,036 students, 78% FRL).
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Tattnall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tattnall County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $51k; list at $85k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.8% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWZ3N0CAZ4KG4N
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29