2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
498 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,330/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$522
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$650
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$-287/mo
Annual
$-3,443/yr
Cap rate
2.83%
Cash-on-cash
-12.36%
DSCR
0.45
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$27,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-287 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (41.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (41.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FWZ4RY292Z5W82
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29