2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
903 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,319/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$614
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$167/mo
Annual
$2,004/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$32,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($809 loan paydown + $720 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#187 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mitchell Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #230 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hatfield Elementary School (366 students, 66% FRL); Mitchell Jr High School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #251 of 330 statewide, top 77%, 359 students, 61% FRL); Mitchell High School (math 32% / reading 67%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 436 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $117k implies a 368% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.0% in Mitchell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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