4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,555 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 764 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,330
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-133/mo
Annual
$-1,600/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.25%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$70,991
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $248k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (5.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (17.3% below list).
It's been on market 764 days — a 12% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $205k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#131 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Zachary Community School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 98 in LA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 584 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.5% in Baker — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 764 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FXZ0HM02SG473X
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29