3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,221 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,443/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,464/yr
Cap rate
21.75%
Cash-on-cash
55.22%
DSCR
3.46
1% rule
2.41%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#114 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Reeds Spring R-IV (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #182 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 346 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 0.9% in Reeds Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FY1941EFZWVJAT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29