4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$390/mo
Annual
$4,685/yr
Cap rate
13.95%
Cash-on-cash
27.34%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#349 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Stephen-Argyle Central Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #170 of 467 in MN (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FY70SF52CW05FK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29