3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 295 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$213
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,336/yr
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.34%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#363 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Mcnairy County (rural): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #100 of 139 in TN (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Selmer Elementary (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #541 of 952 statewide, top 57%, 524 students, 0% FRL); Selmer Middle School (math 25% / reading 28%, grade F, #135 of 333 statewide, top 43%, 232 students, 0% FRL); Mcnairy Central High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 698 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in McNairy County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
McNairy County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $100k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FYJ82YF6BXH9XR
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29