3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 366 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$653
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$548
Net cashflow
$1,258/mo
Annual
$15,093/yr
Cap rate
18.42%
Cash-on-cash
43.30%
DSCR
2.93
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$34,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $124k).
It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in WA, #93 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Battle Ground School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #92 of 291 in WA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.8% in Battle Ground — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FZ2TAQ63RMBFMB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29