3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,877 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,433/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$249/mo
Annual
$2,982/yr
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.11%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.4% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#482 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Jackson County (rural): math 20% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #70 of 129 in AL (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dutton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 224 students, 74% FRL); Stevenson Middle School (math 8% / reading 33%, grade F, #191 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 255 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 55% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FZW748DXEP6CBT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29