1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,240/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$153/mo
Annual
$1,840/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.56%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#197 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, crime F.
Sheridan School District No. 2 (suburban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #85 of 86 in CO (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Alice Terry Elementary School (193 students, 91% FRL); Fort Logan Northgate (math 4% / reading 18%, grade F, #242 of 270 statewide, top 90%, 398 students, 95% FRL); Sheridan High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #340 of 381 statewide, top 90%, 326 students, 90% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,927 units permitted in Arapahoe County in 2024 (1,525 in 5+ unit buildings).
Arapahoe County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.7% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FZW7N314YRMQ0T
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29