1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,274
Tax + insurance
−$471
HOA
−$1,238
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$-912/mo
Annual
$-10,950/yr
Cap rate
2.11%
Cash-on-cash
-14.92%
DSCR
0.34
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$68,040
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $243k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-912 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $243k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 47% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Kitchen countertops
— Need cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-G008577SWN9NCB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29