2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$71
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,216/yr
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.57%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.7% below list).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Idabel (town): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #191 of 270 in OK (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Idabel Primary South Es (263 students, 0% FRL); Idabel Hs (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 381 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 84% district-wide (84 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in McCurtain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McCurtain County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $7k; list at $95k implies a 1257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G02F4NFAGAH1ER
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29