2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
891 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,641/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$705
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$499
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$-95/mo
Annual
$-1,140/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.03%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$37,660
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $134k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (12.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#314 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sterling Park Elementary School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B-, #735 of 2,144 statewide, top 35%, 780 students, 54% FRL); South Seminole Middle School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C, #232 of 571 statewide, top 41%, 995 students, 69% FRL); Lake Howell High School (math 36% / reading 49%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 2,205 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.1% in Casselberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-G02FQD1K36KY3J
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29