2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$670/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$27
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$141
Net cashflow
$303/mo
Annual
$3,635/yr
Cap rate
15.86%
Cash-on-cash
34.16%
DSCR
2.52
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($670 rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#155 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Wendell District (rural): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #88 of 92 in ID (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Wendell Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #318 of 357 statewide, top 92%, 458 students, 75% FRL); Wendell Middle School (math 17% / reading 36%, grade F, #100 of 109 statewide, top 93%, 341 students, 59% FRL); Wendell High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #61 of 169 statewide, top 41%, 322 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Gooding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gooding County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G0A1HWEKZRE05J
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29