2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Manufactured
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$228
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$639
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-48/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.40%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
2.72%
Cash to close
$12,180
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-48/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $43k (1.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $301 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Florence Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #438 of 502 statewide, top 88%, 251 students, 0% FRL); Mc Millan Magnet Middle School (math 12% / reading 20%, grade F, #124 of 128 statewide, top 97%, 751 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G104Y37M8W8TVY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29