3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,271 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,516/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$318
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-549/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.09%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-549/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (3.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#85 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Point Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 518 students, 67% FRL); West Point Middle School (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #54 of 257 statewide, top 21%, 381 students, 64% FRL); West Point High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 606 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 345 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in West Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G10Y3YD51QRG88
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29