28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,840 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$800
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,167
Net cashflow
$1,885/mo
Annual
$22,615/yr
Cap rate
13.25%
Cash-on-cash
24.85%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $471/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,099 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Berlin Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #412 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $325k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.1% in East Nassau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G15DSFBE28T5CX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29