2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,611/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$194
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$990
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$322/yr
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
4.35%
Cash to close
$10,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $37k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($322/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $37k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#3 in UT, #179 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Creekside School (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D-, #218 of 585 statewide, top 38%, 613 students, 18% FRL); Davis High (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #17 of 171 statewide, top 9%, 2,175 students, 8% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G1GFGZE3B8E63E
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29