3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,688 sqft ·
Built 1907
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$433
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$479
Net cashflow
$1,154/mo
Annual
$13,846/yr
Cap rate
23.08%
Cash-on-cash
59.94%
DSCR
3.67
1% rule
2.77%
Cash to close
$23,100
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $577/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 377 students, 63% FRL); Persell Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 417 students, 73% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jamestown City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G1PEGXFN8JBBZX
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29