3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,170 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,674/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$562
Net cashflow
$1,180/mo
Annual
$14,158/yr
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.45%
DSCR
2.67
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Tinley Park High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #309 of 693 statewide, top 45%, 1,089 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G25W5TB4YJFWR0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29