4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,780 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$589
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$708
Net cashflow
$762/mo
Annual
$9,149/yr
Cap rate
9.95%
Cash-on-cash
13.07%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $762 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#57 in NJ, #1,498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Holly Glen Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #731 of 1,303 statewide, top 59%, 505 students, 43% FRL); Williamstown Middle School (math 18% / reading 43%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 1,819 students, 30% FRL); Williamstown High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #234 of 399 statewide, top 59%, 1,782 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.5% in Glassboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G2AK34F51ZZK4K
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29