3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Land
· Active
· 227 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,626/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$446
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$666/mo
Annual
$7,987/yr
Cap rate
38.24%
Cash-on-cash
114.09%
DSCR
6.08
1% rule
6.50%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#170 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Iron District (town): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 80 in UT (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 819 active listings in the ZIP; 655 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iron County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G2JA48EDMDTP7A
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29