4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,890 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,957/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$444/mo
Annual
$5,324/yr
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.19%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 36% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $170k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G2MBYT0W7A141M
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29