3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$493
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$20/mo
Annual
$245/yr
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$26,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($245/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (9.8% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#190 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marion County High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #47 of 305 statewide, top 17%, 250 students, 67% FRL).
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G2VM27D9Q3W16X
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29