2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$1,079/mo
Annual
$12,953/yr
Cap rate
25.34%
Cash-on-cash
68.03%
DSCR
4.03
1% rule
2.88%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#140 in FL, #2,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Crystal Lake Elementary School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 441 students, 38% FRL); Dr. David L. Anderson Middle School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,035 students, 63% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 588 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 2.6% in Palm City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Appliances
— Old and worn, likely not functioning optimally.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored, may need repainting or replacement.
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown and may need trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G34XPSBQCH0K76
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29